If you have been watching the stock market at all you are probably very confused. You are not alone. One day is a hundred points up for the DOW and the next a hundred down. What is going on? There are many stocks that are going up and unless you are in the right ones you will be left behind.

The professional money managers divide stocks and mutual funds in sections they call peer group. Many times you will find that while the general market is going down there will be one or several groups that are going up. Also when the market is going up you will find some peer groups that are going in the other direction. Today there are peer groups that are doing very well ? small capitalization value stocks and funds, real estate group and stocks located in emerging markets.

To find individual stocks like these is pretty difficult so I have a professional do it for me. And he does it free. I hire this person to work 60 or 80 hours a week to do my research. If he doesn’t do a good job I won’t give him any money. He first has to prove to me he knows what he is doing.

Who is this guy that I can get to make me rich and not have to pay him?
It is the manager of a no-load mutual fund. Fund managers were paid an average of $275,000 last year so you won’t have to feel sorry for him. In my opinion most of them are over paid because last year 90% of all stock mutual funds lost money. It is the other 10% I want to be invested in. Where are they hiding? Why hasn’t your broker told you about them?

First, your broker will never tell you about a mutual fund that does not pay him a commission. That is how he makes his living so I can’t fault him. There several places you can find excellent funds. If you don’t have a computer you may look in Investor’s Business Daily newspaper. Once each week they will list the best performing mutual funds for the past 6 months. You will check them with your discount broker to see if they have any commission charge. As long as that fund remains in the top 15 on the list you will have a winner. When it drops below you sell it and buy a better one. Yes, it’s that simple.

If you have a computer it is even easier. Go to www.smartmoney.com, click on mutual funds and they will give you a complete list. There are many other web sites with this kind of information.

If you are going to make money in the market you must be in the current strongest peer group sectors at all times. That means that when the fund you own starts down you must get rid of it in favor of one that is going up NOW. Never mind the 3-year and 5-year performance nonsense.
With this strange mixed market we have now you must be where the UP action is. The bull is sneaking around very stealthily. You can find out where he is and join him.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

When we go to the circus we see a trapeze artist working on a high wire or swing either alone or with other athletes. They know what they are doing because of constant practice, but every once in a while there can be a mistake, even a small one that can cause one of them to fall. The result is death or serious injury when they hit the ground.

When you look below them you will see a net. Thank goodness. No one wants to see them get hurt. As expert as they are they take precautions. In almost every profession or athletic event there is some kind of safety net available and this is true in the stock market for all investors. There is never any reason for investments to fall to the point the investor is hurt. Is there a net that breaks that fall and keeps the investor from losing all or part of his money? Yes there is.

It is called a Stop Loss Order. Brokers don’t like them and never recommend them because it means he must watch your account and the average broker has too many customers to do that. However, you can instruct him to place an Open Stop Loss Order that means it is automatically in every day protecting your shares from loss. If you are not allowed to place this kind of order you should move your account to another brokerage house. They obviously don’t care about protecting your money.

Let me give you an example. Suppose that last year you bought Cisco Systems (CSCO) at $50 per share. The first question to ask yourself is how much am I going to risk in case this stock goes down instead of up? You put up $5,000 and bought 100 shares. How much are you willing to risk? $500. $1,000. More? Well, today it is about $15 so if you did not have a loss protection you would be out $3,500 and that is too much. The Stop Loss Order is your Safety Net! If you don’t have one you can be seriously hurt. One of the basic rules is never to lose more than 10%. Look at what you own to see if you would have more money today if you had placed a Stop Loss Order just below the highest closing price for your stocks. I know you would be money ahead.

There are literally thousands of stocks that have lost 80% and 90% of their value. For those poor people (pun intended) who did not have a safety net they are badly hurt and some are just about dead. Sorry, folks, it did not have to happen.

I don’t care what you own. Now you should immediately look at everything in your portfolio and decide where you need to place those stops. If you don’t put a net in place you could be hurt.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

It has fallen upon the consumer to make our economy strong. All the politicians, economists and talking heads on TV are telling him (that’s you and me) to get out there and spend your money. Buy that new car, build a new house and fly off to some remote place for an expensive vacation.

Where did the idea that consumer borrowing is a recipe for prosperity? As I recall when I was a kid my Dad told me to work hard, save my money and invest wisely. That still seems like a good idea. Where have I gone wrong to want to live within my means and save some of what I earn?

Corporations have also taken on huge amounts of debt. Many businesses were happy with a net, net profit of 5% to 10% yet today the real cost of company debt is running about 10% which doesn’t leave much for the bottom line. Fewer and fewer companies are paying dividends because they don’t have enough money left over for their investors. Now many have such poor cash flow that they do not have the cash for new equipment and the banks are not in a lending mood. Profit margins are at their lowest in the past 50 years. The talking heads on CNBC-TV mention capital appreciation as the way to make your profit. Pick a good stock and watch it go up.

We have had an 18-year bull market that ended in 2000. All you needed was a dartboard to be able to choose a stock that was going up. Everyone was weaned away from dividends. As long as it was going up who cares if you get a little check at the end of the year? Here is an interesting statistic that may shock you as it did me. From 1871 to 1997, 126 years, common stocks went up about 7% per year, BUT only 1.6% of the increase was due to price appreciation. The balance of 5.4% came from dividends. And today, for all practical purposes, there aren’t any.

No one, including Mr. Greenspan, is encouraging you to save money. Why? Because for every one percent increase in the national savings rate it stops the spending of $75 billion (yes, that’s a B). That would slow the economic recovery and our Washington politicians don’t want that. Debt has become the “in” thing. People brag about how much they owe.

If you want prosperity now and when you retire you must create it for yourself. Don’t figure that Uncle Sam is going to maintain your current life style after you quit working.

Saving money, paying your bills and smart investing have not gone out of style.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

We are already in it, but you can’t see it. It doesn’t look like the one we had in ’99. Like the magician who has you watching what he wants you to and with the other hand he is doing something else that is what is happening in the stock market today. The magician is the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq or the S

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

The Surgeon General of the United States says that smoking cigarettes is harmful to your health. It is printed on every pack of smokes you buy. When was the last time a smoker read or paid any attention to it?

Don’t you wish your brokerage account had some kind of warning telling you when to sell out of a stock or mutual fund that is going down? How about “If this stock falls more than 12% below its highest closing price the Money General says it should be sold and the money reinvested in a different equity”? Think of what that would have done for your financial health during the past 2 years. Most people would be feeling a lot better.

Your broker is supposed to be a doctor of finance and should be concerned about your financial well being. When you ask him why your portfolio has gone down you probably will get one of two answers ? “Don’t worry, the market always comes back” ? except when it doesn?t. And “Buy and hold is the best strategy when you are in for the long haul”. That long haul may be 20 years to break “even”. Of course, that does not make you feel any better when you see your money disappearing. It all comes down to the fact he does not know how to do this and has not been trained by the brokerage company. The same goes for most financial planners.

Financial planners will tell you how to split up your investment among stocks, bonds, mutual funds, real estate and so forth, but they have no idea when to sell out of a losing position. Neither brokers, bankers nor financial planners have ever heard that cash is a position. Yes, cash in a money market account will not make big returns, but it will protect your money while the stock market is in a general slide down. Think about this: what if your money had been in a simple 3% money market account for the past 2 years. Would you have more money today? Probably.

It is very difficult to find a broker who has any training in protecting your assets. If you ask to see the training manuals for brokers you will find two. One concentrates on learning all the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission so they will not be sued and the other is a Sales Manual on how to open new accounts and get investors to put in more money. No instruction on how to protect the investors money when a stock or fund starts down. The one thing they are never taught is when to sell.

If you expect to have financial health you must learn how to wisely invest your money. There is no Money General or Easter bunny. You cannot rely on any “expert”. Just as you are responsible for the health of your body by what you put into it so your financial health is up to you by making sure you do not lose what you are putting away for your retirement.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

I am sure that if you have a brokerage account with a “full service” broker you have been getting calls about what to buy and sell. If you have big losses in certain stocks you might be hit with that great Wall Street lie to buy more so you can ‘Dollar Cost Average’. It doesn’t work.

In a recent study going back for 5 years a dollar cost averaging program was set up buying the S

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

Everyone who invests in the stock market wants to be a winner. Each person’s definition of a winner will be somewhat different, but there is hardly one who isn’t looking for that stock that will double in price within one year.

Can it be done? Yes, but when you look at the odds you may want to find a better or maybe slower and safer way. The chance of finding that mother load is 1 in 200, about ? percent. Of the 11,000 listed securities you have a choice of 55. Even the pros don’t like those odds. What makes you think you are better?

We have been in a great bull market from 1982 to 2000. Then the bubble burst. Yet the investing public continues to believe that we are going to see double digit returns every year. According to the Financial Research Corporation’s study the mutual fund pros return was only 10.92% and the average investor had gains of about 8.7%. The great Warren Buffett says the bull is over and that we will be looking at a 5% return not the 12% to 15% that has occurred in the recent past.

As I mentioned in my recent column the returns for the past 126 years has only averaged 7% with 2/3 of the return coming from dividends which are about nonexistent today. Instead of looking for the rainbow with the pot of gold at the end my suggestion is to limit your losses and let your winners run. You have heard that clich? before, but have you every understood what it means in the stock market? The floor traders and hedge fund managers do not look for home runs. They look for slow and steady and never allow any major losses. The key to long term investment success is to limit your losing positions and never give back profits you have earned.

If tech investors in 1999 had followed this principle they would have kept about 80% of their profits. Wall Street says you should Buy and Hold and they have told this lie so often that it has become conventional wisdom. It is absolute stupidity. A simple trailing stop-loss order would have protected the investor’s capital. Almost no broker and certainly no brokerage house recommends loss limit orders. No one is taught the basic winning concept of the market ? an exit strategy. Until that is learned you are doomed to give back your winnings and take losses when a stock doesn’t go up and heads down.

Most investors have no plan as to how much money they would like to accumulate nor how to intelligently go about it. They don’t know where they are going and they don’t want o be late.

When you have decided how much you need to save the next important step is not what to buy, but how to exit in the event what you do buy happens to go down instead of up.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet