Posts Tagged invest

Investments And How To Find Them

There are risks involved in all investing. The skill of investing is knowing which risks are worth taking, and which should be avoided. Finding and knowing which risks to take is the essence of good investing and the whole reason that investments can pay such a high reward. It cannot be done without careful research and analysis. You must give yourself every chance to make the right decision. Investing without carrying out sufficient research is like playing roulette. You are giving yourself virtually no chance of covering your investments and avoiding disaster.

There are certain steps you will have to take in order to give yourself a fighting chance of being a successful investor. If you are considering investing in company shares on the stock market, then you should be aware that all publicly traded companies must provide investors and potential investors with access to company financial data. This data is generally available from the company so if you are considering buying into a company, then get access to this information and satisfy yourself that the company is in a good financial state before parting with any money.

Be Aware

If you do research a company, and are taking a look at its financial position, then you should look back two to three years into the past. You probably don?t need to go back further than this but if you go back less, there may be important trends in the finances that you will miss. Take special note of the quarterly statements and the revenue and earnings per share.

You should be trying to identify trends in certain figures. While these are no guarantee of what might happen In the future it is undeniable that an upward trend in revenue and profits will be a positive sign to look out for.

Once you have satisfied yourself with the basic financials of the company and that the prospects of making good profits into the future are favourable you will be in a position to consider putting money into the share. There is an ongoing debate over whether it?s preferable to buy shares that will increase in value, or shares that pay good dividends and the answer to this question must always lie with the individual investor. What must be remembered however is that there is little point in chasing dividends. This refers to the practice of buying a share just before a dividend is expected to be announced. The price of the share will already have taken the dividend into account so you will be paying for it in any case.

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Writen By : Joseph Kenny

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How To Play Splits

Stock splits are one of the most powerful stock-moving mechanisms. They became rather sparse when the market bubble burst, but when the DOW and NASDAQ moves much higher, more splits are announced.

Many analysts say that stock splits don\’t mean anything. BALONEY! What they mean is that the \”values stay the same.\” That is true. For instance, if you own 100 shares of XYZ at 100 dollars per share and the company does a 2-for-1 split, the next day you will have 200 shares at 50 dollars per share. The \”value\” is the same because you had 100 X100 which equals 10,000 and now you have 200 X 50 which equals 10,000.

But the analysts don?t take into account the profound psychological element of a stock split. That is the part that analysts cannot measure and therefore rarely mention. At InvestYourself, however, we understand the power of the stock split and bring winning split plays to you every week.

When a split is announced, you often see that stock rocket up on the news. More times than not it falls back after a few days and wanders around fairly aimlessly for a while. Many people call this the \”flat\’ period or \”dormant\” phase.

Then something interesting takes place. A good company\’s stock will begin a rally about 10 days to two weeks before the date of the actual split execution. Why is that? Remember when the split was announced the stock popped and then fell back, often to BELOW where it was when they announced the split? On that first run-up, VOLUME came into the stock. The news was exciting, and tons of shares were purchased in a short period of time.

As the split execution nears, buying volume starts picking up and the share price rises. We call this the beginning of the \”split run.\” Why does volume increase? For number of reasons, but the main one is the excitement returns to the stock. Some people want to own that stock before the \”date of record\” and buy into it for any dividends that might be disbursed. Others want it because they know they will have twice as much stock after the split.

We buy it because history shows that more times than not a great company will indeed run into its split! If you look at hundreds of charts from hundreds of companies you will see the pattern over and over. Unless the market is very weak, the stock chart will show a definite move to the upside right before the split execution.

Sometimes a split runner will run right up to the execution day and other times it sells off ahead of the execution. With this in mind, you should consider taking out your profits the day before the execution day. What do you do with a runner with huge momentum that looks like it could get more the next day? Use your stop loss to lock in profits without too much worry of it reversing and falling

Naturally there is never a rule that works every time, but for the most part getting in about three weeks (15 trading days) before a split executes and selling out the day before or the morning of the split still has a winning rate of about 80%. Those are good odds in any venture.

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Writen By : Larry Potter

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Understanding Trailing Stops

Once you are in the trade and your stock has started moving in your direction, you need to extract as much profit as possible. Not being able to do so will make you a losing trader in the long run.

How can a trader lose if he only takes small profits at a time? Profit is profit, isn?t it? Not exactly? Profit of $100 is not the same as a profit of $250. If such profits are followed by two losses of $75 each, profit of $100 will become $50 loss, while profit of $250 will become $100 win.

Do you get the point?

Profits are always followed by losses and if the profits are small they will not make up for the losses that will eventually and surely follow. However, becoming too greedy can turn a small profit into a loss. This will make you lose money in the long run. The best solution to resolving these conflicts is to use trailing stops.

As the name says, trailing stop follows the stock price that is moving in your direction.

For example, let?s say that we have bought 100 shares of company XYZ at $50 per share. We will automatically put our stop loss at 49.50. The price starts to move upwards and reaches $51. At that point we don?t want in any case to get out of this trade without profit. We will now move our stop
loss to $50.50, meaning that if the price turns against us we will hit sell order once the price hits $50.50 in order to make at least some profit from the trade. If the price continues to move in the positive direction we will keep adjusting our stop loss accordingly. If the price hits $51.50 we will move our stop loss to $51.

Once we are more deeply ?in the money? we can start using our stop loss more liberally and give the stock price more breathing space. In our example, this means that if the price hits $53, we could put the stop loss at $52. We are able to do this because we have already made a decent profit and can afford more risk. We can also do this when the stock is in a clear upward trend. Small change in the stock?s direction can mean temporary profit taking, which will be followed by movement in our direction.

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Writen By : Larry Potter

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How To Profit From A Stock You Don\’t Even Own

We want to look at shorting for a moment because here we have something that is quite profitable if done right, but can hang you out to dry if not. As you know, one of the problems with shorting is the \”uptick\” rule, where you literally have to wait on an uptick to jump on a short (this means the stock must have advanced some.) That\’s why you rarely, if ever, get the short filled right at the level you want. For instance let\’s say you like XYZ short below the $50 level. Well if it\’s sinking like a rock, and blasts belows 50, 49.95, 49.90, 49,85 and \”then\” finally bounces, you might get filled at say 49.90 or so.

This isn\’t really a problem, it\’s just something to keep in mind when searching for a short. You won\’t get that short right at the support line most times. But you can try and even out he odds in your favor. How? Suppose you love a short on XYZ at $50 because every time it\’s lost the $50 level, it sinks like a proverbial rock. Well if it plunges under 50 and you get no uptick to short, don\’t despair. If you sit tight, chances are the stock is going to bounce and try and regain that 50 level again. This is usually a good time to place that short.

Suppose it does fade 50 and hits 49.87, then starts bouncing. Yes, it\’s possible it reclaims 50 and keeps heading higher, but it\’s more likely that 50 level will now be a resistance level and if you short on the last hurrah push to hit 50, say at 49.95 or 96, chances are good it will not make the breakout and will fade back down. That failed reclaim attempt is generally the best short you can have since the market senses it couldn\’t retake 50 and lets the stock fall.

Now, ETF\’s don\’t have this problem and they are easier to trade on the short side. Take the BBH for example. It is very volatile and since you don\’t need an up tick to jump on it as a short, it\’s often fun to short it the moment it loses a significant support line. Even if it bounces shortly after, you can often pocket 30 cents or more on the initial fade and for the daytraders out there, that\’s fine money. If you are \”new\” to shorting stocks, it\’s a recommendation that you start with ETF\’s to get the hang of it. It will make shorting stocks much easier.

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Writen By : Larry Potter

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Using Stock Research And Stock Analysis Services

I consider my community a stock market research and education service that is offered to anyone interested in learning how to invest in the market for themselves. I do not manage money and I do not make specific stock picks for anyone in my community. I like to believe that this service is different from most of the stock market services offered on the internet because I aim to teach you how to invest in the market so you do not have to depend on my research for the rest of you trading life. I teach a method, a philosophy that I have developed so you can build a foundation for success; but you the investor must personalize your own system and perform your own due diligence and test what works for you and your trading characteristics and emotions.

It is easy to lead an individual to water but I can?t force this same individual to drink the water if they are thirsty. The same logic holds true for the stock market because I can show you how to invest successfully but you and ONLY YOU can make the proper decisions to show a profit at the end of the year.

I always wonder how many of my members take the opportunity to make money from our MSW Index stocks. This past weekend (12/3/05), I asked them to look in the mirror and be honest about their results over the past year (and their decisions since the rally was confirmed weekly on MSW on 10/22/05). Since we confirmed the rally on October 22, 2005 (on the weekly screen) our MSW Index stocks have been up over 17% as a group (this groups contains 18 stocks that were listed on the weekly screen on 10/22/05 ? very impressive results for so many stocks).

The Index has provided us with many buying opportunities at moving average support, consolidations and pivot point breakouts. Since the last weekly screen (November 19, 2005), the MSW Index has advanced by 6.25% with only two stocks falling for a loss (CRDN and FORD). Forward Industries was the largest loser, falling 6.13%. Our best gainer over the past couple of weeks was LMS which was up 23.25% on big time volume. Of the 26 stocks on the MSW Index, eight of them were up more than 10% while another three stocks were up at least 5% or more. Things move so fast in the market, it is tough to sit back and realize how successful our MSW Index stocks have performed in 2005 versus the rest of the market. A new page will be added as the year closes that will update the performance of the MSW Index versus the major market indices (NASDAQ, DOW, S

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What Is A

Do you have a nemesis stock? Don\’t laugh, just about every good trader/investor I know has one particular stock/index/commodity or what have you that just drives him or her nuts. I\’m sure you do too.

Just about every time you try and trade it, the stock tosses it right back in my face and you\’re lucky to get out even. More times than not you take a small loss and then wonder \”what was that all about??\”

We don\’t have the scientific proof that tells us what that\’s all about. We don\’t have any deep insights for you on the topic. We just know that it happens and it\’s a real phenomenon.

The best thing to do when you come across a stock or ETF that just constantly confounds you is to ignore it. Don\’t play with it. Don\’t get your pride all up in a huff and demand to yourself that you defeat this thing, it will eat you alive. There are ten thousand publicly traded companies out there, why on earth would you constantly go to the one that gives you fits?

More times than not it\’s a pride thing. We can\’t accept being defeated. Some of us try and hone our skills by trading the biggest challenge to us. But in all honesty we\’ve done both of these things, letting our pride get in the way, and trying to challenge our own skills. We\’ve lost on most accounts.

If you have a particular nemesis, avoid it. If you are constantly wrong about the direction of say the techs, then don\’t trade them. If you can never get a handle on oil, avoid it. There are too many places where you can consistently get the trends right, and following something that you know
and are good at is many times more enjoyable than kicking your chair and throwing things at your monitor. Don\’t laugh, you\’ve done it, we all have! Avoid the headaches, focus on the stuff that works for you. It\’s a whole lot less stressful.

See How To Make $60,000 A Year Trading Stocks Under $10

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Writen By : Larry Potter

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Placing Stock Sell Stops

If you follow my articles or my stock analysis, you already know that I am not a supporter of physical sell stops due to the fact that market makers can manipulate these stops during the day. A market maker can drive the price down artificially during trading hours setting off physical stop after physical stop only to allow the stock to rebound and close for a slight loss or a possible gain. The market makers that drive down the price are the same individuals that grab shares at the new intraday price lows, giving themselves an instant profit at the expense of investors like you and me. I fell victim to this trap several times in 2002 and 2003 and became very angry at my stock system until I understood what was really happening. I had established positions in stocks and set a physical sell stop about 7-10% lower to protect from a larger loss. I would come home or take a break only to see that I was automatically sold out of the stock due to a brief drop that only lasted a few minutes to a few hours. The stock would drop anywhere from 15% to 25% intraday only to rebound for a small 1% or 2% loss.

In one case, my stock that had been sold out intraday actually managed to close the day with a slight gain, really making my emotions rage. This same stock went on to double over the next nine months but I never had the courage to get back in. I took this anger and quickly converted it into a research effort that would help me understand what had happened and why it had happened and most importantly: What can I do to prevent it from happening to me again?

I started to study the three instances where this action happened to me and I researched other stocks that I did not own but showed the same type of false intraday movements. After reading about market makers and my individual research, I came up with a solution to the problem. If I narrowed down my portfolio to only high quality stocks, both fundamentally and technically, I knew that my risk was low enough to withstand an intraday movement without placing a physical stop. Barring a catastrophic event, I felt comfortable enough to set a mental stop in my head and write it down on a piece of paper so I could review the stop after the day?s close. If a stock I own drops below my mental stop, I will either sell ?at the market? first thing the next morning or I will wait for the first hour of trading to end and then make my decision to sell. If the mental stop has been passed by more than 5%, I sell immediately the next day. If the metal stop is only sliced slightly (less than 2%-3%) I will hold until mid morning or early afternoon to sell my shares.

Typically, when a stock violates a mental stop that I set; it will drop even further during the first hour of trading but will then rebound as the day moves on, allowing me to take a lesser loss. This is risky but it has been a plan that I have been following for two years with success.

The other more important advantage that mental stops give over physical stops is the prevention of getting sold out intraday during a false breakdown. Since Tower Group (TWGP) is currently on the MSW weekly screens, I will use it as a perfect real time example. Below are the open, high, low and closing prices for the past two days in Tower (the stock has not reached an intraday low below $16 in the past several weeks).

Monday: 19.64 open, 19.81 high, 18.53 low, 18.87 close
Tuesday: 18.86 open, 19.02 high, 15.37 low, 18.49 close

As you can see, the stock went as low as $15.37 on Tuesday only to close back up at $18.49 (a gain of 20% from the intraday low) but what you cannot see without an intraday chart is the fact that this entire move took only 90 minutes of the trading day. Within minutes of the opening bell, the stock dropped 20% but rebounded with strides over the next 90 minutes bringing the price back to the $19 level. From that point forward, the stock gradually fell and lost about 2% for the day but it wasn?t anywhere near the 20% drop from the first hour of trading. If you had a physical stop near $18, a short term support level, you would have been sold out even lower during the intraday drop and would have a large loss in your portfolio. If you had a mental stop, you would not have been sold out and could have made a rational decision on Tuesday night to see if you would like to sell the next day because your mental stop had been violated. The stock managed to close above $18 per share but a major red flag was issued and in most cases, I would sell the next day to be safe. I would then wait after selling the stock to see what direction it was going to take and if the up-trend would continue. If the up-trend continued, I would jump back in at the first solid opportunity.

Some investors think I am raising my risk without using physical stops but I know I am helping my odds by assessing the situation at the end of the day by placing mental stops. I only place physical stops on a position that is showing at least a 20% gain and I will give it room to breathe. If the stock shows a 50% or 100% gain, I will place a physical trailing stop to protect my gains from melting away but I will not place a physical stop on a stock that I just purchased. Too many times during the initial stages of a breakout, market makers will wipe out all of the physical stops and restart the movement without the heavy domino load below. These market makers know about CANSLIM and other stop loss systems and they can see where these stops are placed; so they wipe them out, allowing themselves to get in at a lower price and they release the possible sell-off due to hundreds, if not thousands of stops that have been set due to a specific system strategy such as CANSLIM. Unless you are investing in high quality stocks with strong fundamental and technical ratings, do not employ this strategy or you can lose your entire trading stake. The strategy is a suggestion based on the results it has given me over the past several years after the bad personal experiences that I had with market makers in the past. They may burn other investors, but they no longer burn me ? only I can burn me!

To view the example chart, please visit this link by cutting and pasting the address: www.marketstockwatch.com/Admin/Uploads/110905_TWGP_15minute.jpg

Chris Perruna – http://www.marketstockwatch.com

Chris is the founder and president of MarketStockWatch.com, an internet community that teaches you how to invest your money with solid rules. We offer an extended no obligation monthly trial period starting immediately with two free weeks. We don\’t stop at just showing you our daily and weekly screens, we teach you how to make you own screens through education. Through our philosophy, you will be able to create your own methods and styles to become successful.

Writen By : Chris Perruna

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