One of the things people are always asking me is how can I find a good stock. The answer I give does not please them. I say, “You are not qualified to pick stock. You don’t know how so don’t try. Put your money in a no-load mutual fund that is going up”.

The next cry is, “I don’t want to buy mutual funds. What do I do?”
OK, so I’ll tell you. It is easy. You will have to do less than an hour of work. None of that Wall Street mythology about research which is all horse hockey. The way Wall Street does research is worthless. And don’t listen to any broker. Advice from a broker is a eulogy for your money.

They want you to look at the company prospectus. This document isn’t worth the paper it is printed on. It was not written for the investor; it was written to pass inspection by some Dilbert lawyer in Washington to see that it meets all the regulations. You can take a prospectus of a very good company and one of a company that has gone bankrupt and you will see they are almost identical. Throw them away.

Read the Annual Report. Another bit of smoke and mirrors. The title should tell you – Annual. Much of what is in it is a year old. Worthless. And let’s hope it doesn’t have a case of Enronitis.

Get a report from Morningstar. They know all about every financial statistic for a company that you can think of. You might even find out how many sugar lumps the CEO has in his coffee, but there is one thing you won’t learn. If you buy this company’s stock will it go up? What I am saying is that all the conventional wisdom methods of doing research are worthless. So what do you do?

On the Internet you can find a list of the best performing mutual funds. Go to www.smartmoney.com or www.yahoo/finance.com . There are other places also, but these 2 are very good. List the top 5 mutual funds (write down their symbols). Now go to www.bigcharts.com .
Put in the symbol for one of the funds. A chart will come up giving you a picture of the price performance of that fund. If it is going up at a 25-degree angle or more it means the fund manager is doing a good job of picking stocks. At the top of the chart picture there is a legend for Morningstar. Click on that. The new page will show near the bottom the major holdings of this fund. Again you need to get the symbols for his top 5 stocks and look at the chart picture for each one. If that stock is going up in a nice steady price over a period of time of 6 months or longer you have found a winner. Do this with several funds until you have found some stocks you like.

You have let a professional stock picker do all the work for you and now can piggyback his expertise at no cost. Please remember that when that stock turns down you want to sell it. You may be able to ride one up, but you can never tell when it will turn into another Enron. Always be ready to sell.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

If you have been watching the stock market at all you are probably very confused. You are not alone. One day is a hundred points up for the DOW and the next a hundred down. What is going on? There are many stocks that are going up and unless you are in the right ones you will be left behind.

The professional money managers divide stocks and mutual funds in sections they call peer group. Many times you will find that while the general market is going down there will be one or several groups that are going up. Also when the market is going up you will find some peer groups that are going in the other direction. Today there are peer groups that are doing very well ? small capitalization value stocks and funds, real estate group and stocks located in emerging markets.

To find individual stocks like these is pretty difficult so I have a professional do it for me. And he does it free. I hire this person to work 60 or 80 hours a week to do my research. If he doesn’t do a good job I won’t give him any money. He first has to prove to me he knows what he is doing.

Who is this guy that I can get to make me rich and not have to pay him?
It is the manager of a no-load mutual fund. Fund managers were paid an average of $275,000 last year so you won’t have to feel sorry for him. In my opinion most of them are over paid because last year 90% of all stock mutual funds lost money. It is the other 10% I want to be invested in. Where are they hiding? Why hasn’t your broker told you about them?

First, your broker will never tell you about a mutual fund that does not pay him a commission. That is how he makes his living so I can’t fault him. There several places you can find excellent funds. If you don’t have a computer you may look in Investor’s Business Daily newspaper. Once each week they will list the best performing mutual funds for the past 6 months. You will check them with your discount broker to see if they have any commission charge. As long as that fund remains in the top 15 on the list you will have a winner. When it drops below you sell it and buy a better one. Yes, it’s that simple.

If you have a computer it is even easier. Go to www.smartmoney.com, click on mutual funds and they will give you a complete list. There are many other web sites with this kind of information.

If you are going to make money in the market you must be in the current strongest peer group sectors at all times. That means that when the fund you own starts down you must get rid of it in favor of one that is going up NOW. Never mind the 3-year and 5-year performance nonsense.
With this strange mixed market we have now you must be where the UP action is. The bull is sneaking around very stealthily. You can find out where he is and join him.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

When we go to the circus we see a trapeze artist working on a high wire or swing either alone or with other athletes. They know what they are doing because of constant practice, but every once in a while there can be a mistake, even a small one that can cause one of them to fall. The result is death or serious injury when they hit the ground.

When you look below them you will see a net. Thank goodness. No one wants to see them get hurt. As expert as they are they take precautions. In almost every profession or athletic event there is some kind of safety net available and this is true in the stock market for all investors. There is never any reason for investments to fall to the point the investor is hurt. Is there a net that breaks that fall and keeps the investor from losing all or part of his money? Yes there is.

It is called a Stop Loss Order. Brokers don’t like them and never recommend them because it means he must watch your account and the average broker has too many customers to do that. However, you can instruct him to place an Open Stop Loss Order that means it is automatically in every day protecting your shares from loss. If you are not allowed to place this kind of order you should move your account to another brokerage house. They obviously don’t care about protecting your money.

Let me give you an example. Suppose that last year you bought Cisco Systems (CSCO) at $50 per share. The first question to ask yourself is how much am I going to risk in case this stock goes down instead of up? You put up $5,000 and bought 100 shares. How much are you willing to risk? $500. $1,000. More? Well, today it is about $15 so if you did not have a loss protection you would be out $3,500 and that is too much. The Stop Loss Order is your Safety Net! If you don’t have one you can be seriously hurt. One of the basic rules is never to lose more than 10%. Look at what you own to see if you would have more money today if you had placed a Stop Loss Order just below the highest closing price for your stocks. I know you would be money ahead.

There are literally thousands of stocks that have lost 80% and 90% of their value. For those poor people (pun intended) who did not have a safety net they are badly hurt and some are just about dead. Sorry, folks, it did not have to happen.

I don’t care what you own. Now you should immediately look at everything in your portfolio and decide where you need to place those stops. If you don’t put a net in place you could be hurt.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet

It has fallen upon the consumer to make our economy strong. All the politicians, economists and talking heads on TV are telling him (that’s you and me) to get out there and spend your money. Buy that new car, build a new house and fly off to some remote place for an expensive vacation.

Where did the idea that consumer borrowing is a recipe for prosperity? As I recall when I was a kid my Dad told me to work hard, save my money and invest wisely. That still seems like a good idea. Where have I gone wrong to want to live within my means and save some of what I earn?

Corporations have also taken on huge amounts of debt. Many businesses were happy with a net, net profit of 5% to 10% yet today the real cost of company debt is running about 10% which doesn’t leave much for the bottom line. Fewer and fewer companies are paying dividends because they don’t have enough money left over for their investors. Now many have such poor cash flow that they do not have the cash for new equipment and the banks are not in a lending mood. Profit margins are at their lowest in the past 50 years. The talking heads on CNBC-TV mention capital appreciation as the way to make your profit. Pick a good stock and watch it go up.

We have had an 18-year bull market that ended in 2000. All you needed was a dartboard to be able to choose a stock that was going up. Everyone was weaned away from dividends. As long as it was going up who cares if you get a little check at the end of the year? Here is an interesting statistic that may shock you as it did me. From 1871 to 1997, 126 years, common stocks went up about 7% per year, BUT only 1.6% of the increase was due to price appreciation. The balance of 5.4% came from dividends. And today, for all practical purposes, there aren’t any.

No one, including Mr. Greenspan, is encouraging you to save money. Why? Because for every one percent increase in the national savings rate it stops the spending of $75 billion (yes, that’s a B). That would slow the economic recovery and our Washington politicians don’t want that. Debt has become the “in” thing. People brag about how much they owe.

If you want prosperity now and when you retire you must create it for yourself. Don’t figure that Uncle Sam is going to maintain your current life style after you quit working.

Saving money, paying your bills and smart investing have not gone out of style.

Al Thomas’ book, “If It Doesn’t Go Up, Don’t Buy
It!” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

Tags: Brokers, finan, investment, mutual funds, NYSE, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wallstreet