Posts Tagged risk

Vanishing Funds

No, not the money you have in your brokerage account, but mutual funds. This year so far more than 600 mutual funds have vanished. Where did they go and what happened to the money in those funds that belongs to the investors? The mutual funds were either liquidated or merged out of existence.

Not to worry. Investors did not lose any money, but there could be tax consequences. If the mutual fund is in a tax-sheltered plan of some kind it won\’t make any difference as far as taxes go; however, if the investor is not in a tax shelter he will be responsible for the capital gains taxes, if any. When a fund manager liquidates a stock for a profit within the portfolio the profit must be declared and a capital gain distribution sent to all investors in the fund.

The situation is different if there is a merger. The stocks within the fund are absorbed into the surviving fund and may or may not be sold depending on the investment philosophy of the fund manager. For the investor who wants to be invested in a particular type of fund this may deviate from his personal goals.

The big and famous funds don\’t merge or liquidate, but in fund families such as Fidelity, Liberty, Janus, etc. they have been known to merge their weak funds into stronger ones. The prime reason being that the fund is not making any money and is unable to attract new investors. Usually the fund is taken into one that has a similar portfolio and this helps a fund family as it buries the losers and shores up their overall track record. It does reduce overall expenses and works to the advantage of the investor. You must be aware that sometimes money is moved from one non-performing fund to another. You have to find this out for yourself.

One good thing about the liquidation of a poor performer is that it forces the investor to move his money from a bad situation to (hopefully) a better one.

This year is not going to be a banner year for the majority of mutual funds. It should force many investors to take a closer look at what these fund managers have done with their money. At this time it might be a good idea to evaluate what your funds have done for you lately. If over the past few years they have not outperformed the S

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Stops

Think about this one. Has your broker EVER recommended that you place a stop-loss order on a stock after you have bought it? Ninety-nine percent of the brokers never think about helping you protect your capital. In fact these brokers are not taught this very important technique. The brokerage companies don\’t realize that by helping you get out of a poor position it gives them more of your money to trade again to make them even more commissions which is all they really care about.

You see, they don\’t want to recommend stops because if you sell out you might take your money out and that\’s a no-no. Or worse yet, you might blame the broker because the stock went up after you were out and now you are mad. Let me draw on my 30 years of experience as a trader and let you in on a little secret. Three weeks to 6 weeks after you have been stopped out of any position that individual issue is going to be lower than where you sold it in about 75 to 80% of the time. When you are at the gaming table you must go with the odds.

I hear your protests. \”But I\’m not a gambler, I\’m a long term investor\” No, you\’re not. You are just as much of a speculator as the day trader; the only difference of the time frame. To make a substantial return on your investment you must keep you funds working with profitable stocks or mutual funds all the time. You cannot afford to buy something and have it drop in price and then wait months or years for it to come back \”even\”. It is not \”even\” because you have lost the investment power of your cash by not being in some other stock that is going up NOW not some nebulous time in the future.

Stops are easy to figure. Don\’t ask your broker; he probably doesn\’t know. Very simply you might place a 10% stop below the low of the previous 2 weeks and keep moving it up every Monday morning. Let\’s take a look at what might have happened in this recent crazy tech market. Microsoft went to $119 and as of this Friday, May 26 was $61; WorldCom went to $64, now $37; Palm $165, now $21; E-trade $72, now $15; Ask Jeeves $190, now $20; Red Hat $151, now $17 and there are plenty more like this. Many are 80% lower and it is doubtful we will see new highs in our lifetime. If you owned any of these last year and did not have a stop sell you are hurting today.

And if you did get stopped out and it went to a new high you could buy it back again placing the same kind of stop. Using this method to sell is letting the market tell you when to get out and not guessing that this is the high. You don\’t know. Neither do I. Let the price action tell you. This is what the professionals do.

You must learn how to use stops or you will never make real money in the market.

Al Thomas\’ book, \”If It Doesn\’t Go Up, Don\’t Buy
It!\” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he\’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

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Tell Me What To Do

Because almost everyone has been baffled by Wall Street baloney they have accepted the conventional wisdom that every investor needs a stock broker or financial planner if they are going to invest in the stock market.

That would be true if brokers and planners were trained to not only pick stocks, but also protect the investors? money. Neither is true. That seems like a pretty horrific statement. I know because I used to own a brokerage firm and have hired 300 brokers. Only 1% or 2% of them knew what they were doing and consequently lost money for their clients. That probably applies to so-called financial planners because they all went to the same non-school.

Yes, I said they received no training which is true in almost 99% of the individuals. What little ?advice? they received was based on false and untrue premises. The Buy and Hold philosophy is the biggest lie of Wall Street. No broker is taught an exit strategy ? how and when to sell. Protection of customers? money should be number one on their list; however, brokerage companies do not want you to sell . They would rather have you go broke. (Of course, they don?t say that.) The investor is quoted the Ibbotson study. Unfortunately, the quote only shares one half of the study and the part about why Buy and Hold does not work is never given.

Wall Street has told you that you are too dumb to pick your own investments and that you need a broker to help you decipher the intricate maze that leads to financial freedom. Too bad most brokers haven?t learned or the 7 trillion dollars in losses that occurred from 2000 would not have happened.

Not only have liars and thieves been uncovered in Enron and World Com, but now we find that the fund managers of great bastions of ?safe? investing in mutual funds have also been stealing from their shareholders. Yes, late trading is theft and has been misnamed market timing. This also leads me to realize that the SEC has not been doing their job of protecting the small investor.

With all this corruption you, the investors, are more confused than ever. What do I do now? Where should I put my money? You need ?expert? advice and I must say to you that you will not get it from a broker. Advice from a broker is a eulogy for your money. No, now is the time for you to take charge of your own investment portfolio. Could you have done any worse in the past 3 years than letting a ?professional? handle your money?

There are many places you can seek advice, but none of them are on Wall Street. The library and the Internet are both great sources of information. Find someone who does not fit the Wall Street pattern. Several someones. And start your financial education.

Go look in the mirror and say, ?Tell me what to do?.

Al Thomas\’ book, \”If It Doesn\’t Go Up, Don\’t Buy
It!\” has helped thousands of people make money
and keep their profits with his simple 2-step
method. Read the first chapter at
http://www.mutualfundmagic.com
and discover why he\’s the man that Wall Street
does not want you to know.

Copyright 2005

Writen By : Al Thomas

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What’s My Credit Score Free? Is A Question With An Easy Answer

With so much talk about the financial state of the country and the ever present recession, you may be wondering about your own standing – particularly your credit standing. If you’re asking “What’s my credit score free?” there are a number of free websites that will allow you to access your score, which is the most important number that defines you.

Your credit score can change dramatically over the course of your life, but regardless it follows you and influences the outcome of any important financial decisions like a home purchase.

Find your score is not enough; it is best to procure your credit report. Access to your credit report is free and you should never have to pay for the privilege of that information so be warned of companies that require you to enroll in some sort of reporting service. It is after all your report and you have a right to the information.

Credit reports amass information from all of your credit cards that include any outstanding balances, payment histories including times of delinquency, as well as any third party inquiries or instances of filing for bankruptcy. Taken together and put through a mathematical formula your credit information is turned into a three digit score, called a FICO score.

Your FICO score can range anywhere from 350 to 800 points. Up to ninety percent of banks use your FICO score as a determining factor in bestowing a loan. The number assigned to you is basically a measure of your financial responsibility and whether the risk of granting you more responsibility in the form of payments is sound.

In today’s world of identity theft it would be criminal to not get look at your credit report for an accurate measure of where you stand financially. The responsibilities of being an adult extend to taking an active role in your financial life.

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A New Rival For EBay? Should This Interest You?

If you have read my other articles regarding choosing stocks to invest in you have by now known that I like cheap volatile stocks. While the stock discussed in this article is relatively cheap, the volatility is quite high and can drastically change capital losses to capital gains quite in a short amount of time.

Looking more in terms of the public equity itself, as EBay has grown to be nearly a decade old, it was inevitable that competitors were around looking to take some of the concentration ratio away. GMarket, another ecommerce website, hopes to provide such extravagant competition to CEO Meg Whitman?s firm. Already proving to be more popular in the Asian market in countries such as Korea, GMarket is hoping to expand and provide extra benefits which EBay does not offer to entice more users. As EBay?s price has fallen dramatically over the past year, GMarket, which recently opened as an IPO, hopes to take advantage of such activity and prove to be the next big internet phenomenon.

Supporting a resistance level of near 15.50 and a support level of near 13.00, GMarket is a perfect opportunity for timely investors to rack in capital gains at little expense. Fluctuating between these levels for the past month, an investor is able to make an easy 20% profit in one to two weeks time if the stock is bought around the low of 13.00. In fact, with an estimated one year estimate of 20.00, truthfully buying at any point less than 15.00 may be a bargain. If EBay continues a downward trend and GMarket is able to obtain some control of the market, there is even potential for the company to reach 50.00 in a few years time.

While technical analysis and potential are good starting points to be optimistic about GMarket, even by looking at the fundamentals it is evident this company has a bright future. With 2nd quarter results initially confirming a one year growth of revenue of 165% and a one year growth of earnings near 135%, GMarket covers all its bases in regards to positive criticism from investors. Recently given the light to outperform the market by a few respectable brokers, gives me the assurance to agree with such sentiment and allows to label GMarket as a strong buy for both risky investors wanting to make a quick profit as well as long term investors eager for growth making this an excellent stock to invest in regardless of future ambitions.

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Understand How Debt Loans Can Help You

There has been a dramatic increase in the amount of people that are now applying for debt loans to help cover their outstanding payments. Today it is all too easy to have problems finding enough money to meet our debts; if you end up defaulting on a loan then you will be in hot water, therefore consolidating your debt is often the best choice.

Most consolidated loans will differ in their features compared to the loans and debts you currently have. A debt loan will have many positive factors. For example in the loans you presently have the interest rates may vary considerably. A consolidated loan will offer you one interest rate that is generally less than what you had been paying previously. Also by consolidating your loans you may be presented with an extended repayment plan that involves a smaller outlay on a monthly basis.

Bear in mind that most companies that offer debt loans will ask you to pledge collateral. If you then default on this new loan you run the risk of losing your property or other important possessions.

With the economy still in recovery it is important that we make financial savings where we can in our lives. You can cut back your monthly expenditure by using a consolidated loan; it will free up funds for other essential items.

When contacting lenders make sure that you choose a reputable company that are easy to talk to. It is a fact that thousands of people are choosing to consolidate their debts and loans each year. You should be able to find a lender that understands and emphasizes with your situation.

Take your time to contact as many lenders as you can as the deal that you will be offered can vary greatly between companies.

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Managing Investing And Stock Market Risks

Reduce your investing and stock market risks by:

Setting your sights on the long term, patiently riding with the ups and downs!

If you have the time to be patient, you can benefit from time diversification. The more numerous good years for stocks outweigh the bad, pulling your return up.

Thus, if you hold equities for many years, you can expect to realize significant positive growth in your wealth.

Weeding out your laggards!

Don\’t be too patient with laggards. This is the management risk referred to earlier. Underperforming the market benchmarks is a big risk to which many people are oblivious.

The more years you remain with a subpar performer, the greater the damage to your nest egg. Weed out funds that have lagged their peers over the past 18 to 24 months.

Avoiding hard-core market timing!

It\’s not uncommon for hard-core market timers to move between the extremes of 100% stocks during an up market to 100% cash when their indicators signal a major turning point in prices.

Market timing is especially easy to do with mutual funds. Resist the temptation. Participation in the best up months is far more important than avoiding the worst down months, and the really dramatic upward surges in stocks are unpredictable, of short duration, and few and far between. Market timers risk being in cash when the bull stampedes. Missing out can make a big difference in your long-run returns.

Being disciplined and using cost averaging!

Investing monthly in a specific stock is a great way to build wealth and cope with market ups and downs. Your fixed investments buy more shares when prices are down and fewer at higher levels.

Cost averaging can help people become more disciplined because it encourages investing during market nadirs when individuals otherwise might be too fearful. A particularly good strategy is to double up on your investments when prices are depressed, if you\’re able to. This will help enhance your long-term performance, by further reducing your average cost per share.

Copyright ? 2005 I.E.C. Haramis

haramis@greekshares.com

http://www.greekshares.com

Ioannis – Evangelos C. Haramis was born in Greece in 1951 and he studied in Greece, USA and in Belgium. He has been active in the stock markets since 1972. Since 2002 he is New Business Development Managing Director at an Investment Bank.

Writen By : Ioannis – Evangelos Haramis

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